BackgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are increasingly used to treat non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and there is a critical need for novel predictive/prognostic biomarkers. We evaluated whether dynamics of circulating tumor (ctDNA) can identify NSCLC patients who benefit from single agent ICI.MethodsCirculating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from 177 patients was analyzed prior ICI and at first treatment evaluation using a Commercial 77-gene panel. We performed de novo mutation calling and corrected for variants related clonal hematopoiesis. ctDNA changes were evaluated as predictors of tumor response estimated with PET/diagnostic CT and survival.ResultsMutations were detected in 159 of 174 (91.4%) analyzable patients. Most responders presented decreasing ctDNA levels, while non-responders had mixed molecular responses. Patients with a >50% molecular ctDNA decrease or no detectable ctDNA demonstrated improved PFS (5.9 versus 1.8 months; HR 0.49, 95%CI, 0.35-0.67, P < .001), and OS (18.9 versus 9.9 months; HR 0.41, 95%CI, 0.30-0.57, P < .001) compared to patients not ... (Show More)

BackgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are increasingly used to treat non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and there is a critical need for novel predictive/prognostic biomarkers. We evaluated whether dynamics of circulating tumor (ctDNA) can identify NSCLC patients who benefit from single agent ICI.MethodsCirculating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from 177 patients was analyzed prior ICI and at first treatment evaluation using a Commercial 77-gene panel. We performed de novo mutation calling and corrected for variants related clonal hematopoiesis. ctDNA changes were evaluated as predictors of tumor response estimated with PET/diagnostic CT and survival.ResultsMutations were detected in 159 of 174 (91.4%) analyzable patients. Most responders presented decreasing ctDNA levels, while non-responders had mixed molecular responses. Patients with a >50% molecular ctDNA decrease or no detectable ctDNA demonstrated improved PFS (5.9 versus 1.8 months; HR 0.49, 95%CI, 0.35-0.67, P < .001), and OS (18.9 versus 9.9 months; HR 0.41, 95%CI, 0.30-0.57, P < .001) compared to patients not achieving these endpoints. Clearance of mutations (and no detected ctDNA) had a similar effect (PFS HR 0.45, 95%CI, 0.32-0.61, P < .001; OS 0.37,95%CI, 0.27-0.52, P < .001) compared to patients having stable or additional mutations. After adjusting for clinical factors both >50% ctDNA decrease (HR 0.4, 95% CI, 0.3-0.6, P < .001) and clearance of mutations (HR 0.42, 95% CI, 0.3-0.6, P < .001) remained independent predictors for PFS and OS.ConclusionsctDNA testing reveals significant prognostic albeit not predictive information in ICI treated advanced NSCLC. This relevant information can be obtained with a commercial easy-to-implement ctDNA test that will facilitate extensive testing.

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